McGehee misses cycle, but his big day helps Brewers crush Cubs

Baseball Betting Lines

07/04/2009 - Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Casey McGehee finished with four hits, a double short of a cycle, and drove in five to lead the Milwaukee Brewers to an 11-2 win over the Chicago Cubs.

Mike Cameron was 2-for-3 with a three-run homer and four total RBI for the Brewers, who had lost the first two contests of this four-game set and dropped three in a row overall.

J.J. Hardy homered and finished with two of the Brewers' 14 hits, while also scoring twice.

Braden Looper (7-4) allowed two runs on six hits and three walks over six innings. Both his runs allowed came on Milton Bradley's two-run homer in the third inning.

Aside from Bradley's homer, the Cubs had only six singles and hit into three double plays, as they had a three-game win streak broken.

Chicago starter Rich Harden (5-5) surrendered seven runs on eight hits and a walk in two-plus innings, and took the loss.

The Brewers struck for five runs in the first inning, which Craig Counsell began with a single. Ryan Braun later doubled to put runners in scoring position, and after Harden intentionally walked Prince Fielder, McGehee hit a two-run single to center.

Cameron followed with a homer to left-center for a 5-0 Milwaukee lead.

Hardy's solo homer in the second made it a six-run game, and the Brewers went up 7-0 in the third. McGehee led off with a triple and scored on Cameron's double.

Bradley's two-run shot in the home third, after Derrek Lee hit a leadoff single, got the Cubs within five. Chicago did not have another hit until Mike Fontenot's single with two outs in the ninth, allowing the Brewers to take further control.

Hardy scored on a passed ball in the fourth, and McGehee followed with an RBI single to push Milwaukee's lead to 9-2. McGehee's two-run homer in the sixth made it an 11-2 game, and he had a chance to go for the cycle in the eighth, but grounded into a double play.

Game Notes

Harden allowed a season-high in earned runs and had his shortest outing of 2009...Cameron's homer was his 14th this season, while Hardy hit his ninth and McGehee belted his sixth...Bradley's HR was his sixth of the year. He also walked twice...The Cubs still lead the season series, 5-4.

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.